Alabama vs Ole Miss Expert CFB Free Pick September 17, 2016

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels
Brad Diamond recommends a play on the Crimson Tide -10.5

With Mississippi winning at Alabama last year 43-37 in a real shootout, coach Nick Saban sets up in a rare double-revenge situation for the Crimson Tide.  Last week Alabama crushed Western Kentucky 38-10 holding the Hilltoppers to 239 yards of total offense (23 on the ground).  Mississippi ripped up FCS Wofford 38-13.  Don’t get too excited about the 233 yards on the ground accrued by Wofford, they have “NO” passing attack.  Ole Miss lost game #1 of the season to Florida State 45-34.  The Sems went on a 30-0 run to silence the Rebels, and forged redshirt frosh QB Francois (33-52, 419) into the national limelight.

This week the Crimson Tide will need to ride the running game a little more than last week keeping the Ole Miss offense and QB Kelly on the sideline.  On the technical side, Alabama is 21-14 ATS in road sets, while the Rebels are 18-16 ATS at home, but they did have a 4-2 ATS mark last year with covers versus Fresno State, New Mexico State, Texas A&M and LSU.   Ole Miss is 21-7 SU at home with just 2 losses over the last two years against Arkansas and Auburn.  As we now understand, Saban just reloads every season with 4* and 5* recruits waiting in the wings to fill out the starting lineup.  With this unit having the best passing attack potential for Alabama in some time, I am looking for a high scoring game.

Make it Alabama 46 Ole Miss 27.

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