Expert Free Picks

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Chicago White Sox +117

The Chicago White Sox will be highly motivated for a victory tonight against the Los Angeles Angels.  They have lost five of their last six games during one of their worst stretches of the season.  Now we are getting them at a great value as underdogs in Game 2 after losing Game 1 by a single run.

The White Sox have the clear advantage on the mound tonight.  Johnny Cueto has proven to be an excellent addition to the rotation and has turned back the clock.  He has posted a 2.93 ERA and 1.116 WHIP in seven starts this season, including a 1.08 ERA and 0.920 WHIP in four road starts.  Cueto has never lost to the Angels, going 4-0 with a 1.34 ERA and 0.802 WHIP in five career starts against them.

Chase Silseth has struggled in his four starts for the Angels this season, going 1-2 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.470 WHIP, including 0-1 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.848 WHIP in two home starts.  He should not be favored over Cueto and the White Sox tonight.

The White Sox are 6-2 in their last eight road games.  Chicago is 13-5 in its last 18 during Game 2 of a series.  The Angels are 5-14 in their last 19 home games.  Los Angeles is 9-23 in its last 32 games overall.  The Angels are 2-11 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with less than a 1.15 WHIP.  Bet the White Sox Tuesday.

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1* Free Pick on Dodgers/Rockies over 11 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* Free Sharp Play on Red Sox +128

The Red Sox (+128) are worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Blue Jays in Tuesday's MLB action. Toronto won the series opener 7-2 in Monday, but it's Boston that has been playing the better baseball of late. Red Sox had won 7 in a row before the loss. Toronto had lost 7 of 10 before the win. Both starters have been impressive in 2022. Red Sox are swinging the hotter bat of the two, as Boston comes in hitting .295 with a .370 OBP and .452 slugging as a team over their last 7 games. Play the Red Sox +128! 

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Baltimore Orioles +154

The Baltimore Orioles have quietly gone 9-4 in their last 13 games overall with eight of the nine wins as underdogs of +130 or higher.  They have faced the Blue Jays, Rays and White Sox during this stretch as well.  They beat the Mariners 9-2 as +135 underdogs last night and have scored 4 runs or more in five of their last six.  Robbie Ray has been a little disappointing for the Mariners this season at 6-6 with a 4.07 ERA in 15 starts.  Dean Kremer has been too good to be this big of an underdog to Ray and the Mariners.  Kremer is 2-1 with a 1.71 ERA in his four starts this season.  Ray's teams are 12-25 (-24.8 Units) in his 37 career starts as a home favorite of -125 to -175.  Give me the Orioles.

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Mike Lundin's Orioles vs Mariners MLB Free Pick June 28, 2022

The Orioles are 16-21 with a +12% ROI as road underdogs this season. The Mariners are 10-9 with a negative ROI of -11% as home favorites.

Orioles righty Dean Kremer (2-1, 1.71 ERA) has made four starts on the season, the last three very solid with a 0.54 ERA over 16+ innings of work. 

Mariners left-hander Robbie Ray has also been pitching lights out lately, but he has an ERA of 5.34 in six starts against the Orioles in his career. He gave up four runs on six hits and three walks in five innings of a 9-2 loss to Baltimore at the beginning of the month. 

The Orioles are 15-6 against the runline as underdogs and facing a left-handed starter. 

FREE PICK ON BALTIMORE ORIOLES +1.5. 

Mike's top-rated 10* premium picks across all sports are on a 17-5 (77%) run since June 10, 2022, through which $1,000/game betting investors have earned +$11,820. 

His MLB 3-game high roller report for Tuesday includes one top-rated 10* moneyline, a top-rated 10* total and one 8* rated runline. All plays are on different games. 

Tuesday card led by the 100% MLB 5* TOTAL OF THE MONTH. and a 5* MLB Diamond Cutter Side Headlining.

The MLB Comp Play for Tuesday is on San Diego at 9:40 eastern. Home teams off a home win like Arizona scoring 11 or more runs are 2-9 vs an opponent off a home loss that scored 3 or more runs like the Padres. San Diego has won the last 6 in the series and they are 6-0 with rest, 11 o3 after scoring 5+ runs. Arizona is 0-5 vs an opponent that allowed 5 or more runs and 1-4 off a win. Manea goes for SD and his teams are 4-0 vs Arizona. Gallen goes for Diamondbacks and his teams are 0-4 vs SD. Look for the Padres to take the opener. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

Dave's Tuesday Free Play:

1* on Philadelphia Phillies -110

The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies have the edge on the rubber tonight over the Atlanta Braves.  Zack Wheeler is 6-4 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 13 starts this year, and 4-2 with a 1.49 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 7 home starts.  Wheeler is 9-7 with a 3.14 ERA in 22 lifetime starts against the Braves, and 2-1 with a 1.57 ERA in his last 4 starts against them while yielding only 5 earned runs in 28 2/3 innings.  Charlie Morton is 4-3 with a 4.84 ERA in 14 starts this year, and 2-3 with a 5.64 ERA in 7 road starts.  Morton is 5-5 with a 4.78 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts against the Phillies.  Take Philadelphia.

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Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Tuesday 6-28-22

LA Dodgers @ Colorado  (8:40 PM EST)
Play On:  LA Dodgers -1.5 -135 (Kershaw/Freeland) Listed

The Los Angeles Dodgers take on the Rockies in Colorado on Tuesday night.  The Los Angeles Dodgers are 45-27 SU overall this year while Colorado comes in with a 32-42 SU overall record on the season.  The Dodgers seek revenge here after losing 4-0 last night.  Clayton Kershaw is 5-1 with a 2.00 ERA overall this year, 4-1 with a 1.24 ERA on the road this season and 1-1 with a 2.40 ERA his last 3 starts. Kershaw is 24-9 with a 3.32 ERA in his 44 career starts against Colorado.  Kyle Freeland is 2-3 with a 5.32 ERA at home this year.  The Dodgers are 9-1 last 3 years and 3-0 this year after getting shut out.  We'll recommend a small play on the LA Dodgers on the Run Line tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our Tuesday Free Play. Tampa Bay is coming off a weekend sweep over the Pirates which was much needed following a 3-9 stretch that included five losses against the Yankees and the Rays are in fourth place in the American League East, trailing New York by 13 games. They are now 25-15 at home which are the second most home wins in baseball and are catching a great number in the series opener. Pitching has led the way for Tampa Bay as it is No. 5 in runs allowed per nine innings, No. 4 in batting average allowed and No. 5 in opposing OPS. Tampa Bay is 17-1 in its last 18 games against the money line against National League teams with a team batting average of .245 or worse. Milwaukee has won two straight games while going 7-3 over its last 10 games. The Brewers remain in first place in the National League Central as they are a half-game ahead of St. Louis and they come in with a solid 23-18 record on the road but 15 of those wins are against teams with a losing record. Pitching has been their strength as well as they are in the top half of baseball in those three main pitching categories and turn to Brandon Woodruff who has one of the worst splits in baseball with a 1.59 ERA at home compared to an 8.15 ERA on the road. The Brewers are 1-8 in their last nine games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play on American League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season, after allowing two runs or less. This situation is 114-77 (59.7 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (978) Tampa Bay Rays

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This is a low O/U number for good reason. Both starters are in excellent current form. Kremer has a 1.71 ERA through his first four starts, a 0.00 mark his past two starts. Those games had scores of 4-0 and 1-0. Ray has really found his rhythm. He's got a 0.90 ERA and 0.70 WHIP his past three starts. His last start finished with a final score of 2-1. Neither starter has been taken deep in any of his last three. Consider the Under. 

Play - Houston Astros w/Valdez vs Carrasco (Game 979). 

Edges - Astros: Valdez 1.95 ERA with 0.91 WHIP away this season; and Houston 10-1 on Tuesdays this season … Mets: 0-5 last five games in this series; and Carrasco 0-3 last three starts against Houston … With that, look for the Mets to fall to 3-6 in interleague games this season here tonight.  We recommend a 1* play on Houston. Thank you and good luck as always. *Note: All pitchers' records are team starts.

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My free play is on the Chi Cubs at 8:05 ET.

The Brewers and Cardinals were expected to battle for the NL Central title in 2022 and that is what has played out as the season approaches July 4th. The Reds were coming off an 83-79 season in 2021 and likely had some hopes of joining the Brewers and Cards in the 2022 division 'fight' but there was "No Joy in Wrigleyville" entering 2022, as the Cubs were coming off a 71-91 season. Cincy's dreadful 3-22 start basically 'killed' the Reds' 2022 plans, while the Cubbies dipped below .500 with a loss on April (6-7) and have remained a sub-.500 team since. The two bottom-dwellers in the NL Central open a three-game series tonight in Wrigley. The 25-47 Reds are 13-24 on the road, while the 28-45 Cubs are 13-25 at home. That said, ONE team HAS to win tonight!

Luis Castillo (2-4, 3.71 ERA) will take the mound for the Reds, while the Cubs counter with Keegan Thompson (7-2, 3.10 ERA). Castillo was 15-8 in 2019 but is coming off a 2021 season in which he was 8-16 in 33 starts. The Reds were 11-22 in those starts, giving Castillo the worst moneyline mark of ANY starter (-$1,265). Castillo missed spring training and the first 28 games with a right shoulder strain and didn't make his 2022 debut until May 9. This is only his ninth start of the current season, and he takes the mound 0-2 with a 4.07 ERA in four June starts (Reds are 0-4!). Thompson pitched 53.1 innings last season (32 appearances) but has been the 'star' of Chicago's pitching staff in 2022. He's made 16 appearances, including six starts. He's struggled on the road with a 5.40 ERA and BAA of .280 but at home, his ERA is 1.50 and BAA is .176.

Cubs Win! Cubs Win!

Good luck...Larry

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Boston at Toronto 7:07 ET

Blue Jays over Red Sox- Right-hander Ross Stripling (4-2, 3.08 ERA) will get the start for Toronto on Tuesday. Right-hander Michael Wacha (6-1, 2.34) will start for Boston. Stripling allowed one run in five innings against the Red Sox and did not factor in the decision on April 27. He is 2-3 with a 6.62 ERA in seven career starts against Boston. Wacha earned a win on April 27 when he held the Blue Jays to four hits and one run in six innings. He is 1-1 with a 3.91 ERA in five career outings (four starts) against Toronto. Take TORONTO!

This is a Free play on Boston +1.5.

The Jays took Game 1 of this series by a score of 7-2, but the Red Sox are still 16-5 in their last 21 road games.

Michael Wacha will toe the slab for Boston, and he's having a career year. Wacha (6-1, 2.34 ERA) has allowed three runs on 11 hits, striking out a dozen in 11 1/3 innings in back to back wins over the Tigers and Cardinals.

The Jays hand the ball to Ross Stripling, who has been solid in his own right. He doesn't log a lot of innings though, and the Jays bullpen is a mess right now.

The Blue Jays are 3-7 in their last 10 games versus a right-handed starter.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on San Francisco over Detroit at 9:45 pm et on Tuesday.

The Giants were crushed by the Reds by a 10-3 score on Sunday. After an off-day on Monday, I look for them to bounce back against the Tigers on Tuesday. Carlos Rodon will take the ball for San Francisco. He owns a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.34 FIP and 1.09 WHIP this season, allowing only 2.81 runs per nine innings. He should have little trouble containing a Tigers offense that averages only 2.7 runs per game on the road this season, going 11-22 along the way. Tarik Skubal will counter for Detroit. He's having a fine season in his own right but run support continues to be an issue. The Tigers have mustered just two runs in Skubal's last three starts combined. We're being asked to lay a steep price with the Giants here but I believe it could be even higher. Expect the off-day yesterday to have served San Francisco well, noting that it hadn't been idle since June 16th. Also note that the Giants are 42-18 when coming off two losses in their last three games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 1.2 runs on average in that spot. Take San Francisco.

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