Expert Free Picks

[1%] Free Play on Giants -140

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #181 Over in Syracuse Orange vs Tennessee Volunteers (12p.m., Saturday, August 30 ABC) Just feel both of these offenses will put up some points in this neutral site game in Atlanta, GA. Syracuse quietly won 10 games last season and will again have to move the football through the air. Tennessee plays up-tempo and likes to score quick in their drives against tired defenders. We will not worry if Tennessee can cover this number and instead just focus on the over. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring plays in FCS, CFL, MLB, WNBA, UFC, and Soccer. We are coming off 3 straight winning weeks of football and now is the time to jump on board with a veteran handicapper that has been in business since 1971.

PSP Data Driven 1* Under.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the under. The Under is 6-4 in the Seahawks last 10 games. The Under is 4-1 in the Seahawks last 5 home games.

1* FREE INFO PLAY Elversberg +220

1* Free Sharp Play on CF Monterrey -105

1* Bet on Georgia Tech/Colorado: under 51½

1* Free Play on Guardians +145

Friday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Friday.

Both of these teams enter this series performing well at the plate but I look for a pitcher's duel on Friday. 

Freddy Peralta will get the start for Milwaukee. Consistently one of baseball's most under-appreciated starters (he's never earned a Cy Young Award vote in his eight-year big league career), the right-hander owns a 3.68 FIP and 1.10 WHIP to go along with a 15-5 record this season. He enters in tremendous form. Peralta hasn't allowed an earned run over his last three starts, yielding just six hits in 17 innings of work.

Shane Bieber will make his second start since returning from injury for the Blue Jays. His first outing was a good one as he logged six innings, needing only 87 pitches while allowing one earned run on just two hits. He struck out nine and didn't walk a single batter (he did have one hit-by-pitch). 

While Toronto's struggling bullpen is a concern, the good news is it should have 'all hands on deck' following an off day on Thursday. I believe this total will prove too high in a game that should have a 'playoff-like atmosphere' between two of the best teams in baseball. Take the under.

This is a FREE PLAY on the Guardians on the RUNLINE.

The Guardians are on the outside of the Playoff picture looking in, meaning that all remaining home series take on added importance for Cleveland moving forward.

Note that Seattle is just 31-35 on the road, while Cleveland is 33-32 at home.

The starters appear to be a "wash" here, as George Kirby is 8-6 with a 4.05 ERA for the Mariners, while Logan Allen is 7-10 with a 4.35 ERA for the Guardians.

While I think an outright is a very real possibility for Cleveland in the opener of this important series, at this price I think that the savvy call is just grab the GUARDIANS on the RUNLINE (+1.5) option instead.

Good luck, NP

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Diamondbacks +178

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* on Charlotte +4½

MLB FREE PICK

Marlins righty Eury Perez has a 4.05 ERA over five starts in August after a strong July (1.29 ERA), but has looked sharper in his last two outings.

The Mets will debut top pitching prospect Jonah Tong, who has dominated the minors this year with a 1.43 ERA, 179 strikeouts in 113+ innings, and leads all minor league pitchers in strikeouts. Known as the "Canadian Cannon," Tong's elite strikeout ability and recent dominance suggest he will challenge Miami’s lineup effectively.

This pitching matchup supports taking the under in the game.

3% FREE PICK ON THE UNDER. 

Mike is coming into Friday riding a 6-2 (75%) RUN with his MLB premium picks, and he's on a 10-3 (77%) CFB RUN dating back to last season! This 3-pack will give you access to 2 CFB and 1 MLB for Friday. 

Pure Lock's FREE CFB play Friday 8-29-25

Charlotte +5

Pure Lock has a TOP MLB play available on Friday on the Rays/Nationals. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 174-138 (56%) run over his last 313 OVERALL picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $14,600 since February 13, 2025!

Pure Lock has a TOP NCAA-F play available on Saturday on the Marshall/Georgia. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 50-33 (60%) run over his last 85 NCAA-F picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $13,840 since September 14, 2019!

Pure Lock has a TOP CFL play available on Monday on the Edmonton Elks/Calgary. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 173-137 (56%) run over his last 311 OVERALL picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $14,800 since February 13, 2025!  Documented 86% in CFL this year!

Mikey Sports FREE CFB play Friday 8-29-25

Kennesaw State +18 1/2

Mikey Sports has been on an INCREDIBLE 132-98 (57%) RUN over his last 238 MLB picks! He has now made $1,000/game bettors $11,340 in profits since June 26, 2018. Join Mikey Sports with his Spread for Friday on Cubs v. Rockies!

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Friday 8-29-25

OVER 7 1/2 Seattle/Cleveland (Kirby/Allen) Listed

R&R Totals has a TOP MLB Over-Under for Friday! Now an impressive 1181-1007 (54%) over his last 2387 MLB picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $94,630 since October 09, 2013!

R&R Totals has a TOP WNBA Over-Under for Friday! Now an impressive 242-196 (55%) over his last 445 WNBA picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $26,880 since August 10, 2019!

R&R Totals has a TOP NCAA-F Over-Under for Friday! Now an impressive 158-132 (54%) over his last 302 NCAA-F picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $13,510 since September 10, 2011!

R&R Totals has a TOP NCAA-F Over-Under for Sunday! Now an impressive 158-132 (54%) over his last 302 NCAA-F picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $13,510 since September 10, 2011!

R&R Totals has a TOP CFL Over-Under for Sunday! Now an impressive 3119-2844 (52%) over his last 6232 OVERALL picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $16,160 since May 05, 2018!

R&R Totals is on an INCREDIBLE 3120-2845 (52%) run over his last 6234 OVERALL picks! $1,000/game clients now up $16,060 since May 05, 2018!  R&R Totals has a 2-Pack of NFL Totals for Sunday!

Giants vs Commanders
5-Unit bet on the Giants priced as 6.5-point dogs.

Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 3.5 units on the Giants preflop (prior to the kickoff) and then look to add 1.5 units if the Commanders score first or they retake the lead during the first half of action. Betting in the second half has an increasing limitation of time remaining in order for that bet to win. You essentially need to be correct nearly immediately when making any 2nd half bet so be cautious whenever thinking of that strategy this season.

In each of the past four Circa Survivors and any survivor contest the most popular team choices to win in Week 1 have lost and by week 4 about 88% of the entries have been eliminated. This game has the potential to be the largest selected choice on the board for any survivor contest. The betting sentiment is largely positive for the Commanders and highly negative for the Giants based on their recent seasons. The fact that this game is only 6.5 points had me scratching my head from the opening. Of the tickets bet on this game, 55% of them are on the Commanders and accounts for a whopping 61% of the handle and the line has not moved from the opening price. In fact, there are some books that have moved their lines to 6 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 25-30 SU record and a 38-14-3 ATS record good for 73% winning bets since 2014. The required criteria are:

ü  Bet on road dogs priced between 3 and 6.5 points.

ü  The game occurs in the first three weeks of the regular season.

ü  That team struggled on defense allowing 5.7 or more yards per play in their previous season.

Now, sit down and read this fact. If the game has a total of more than 45 points, this system has gone an amazing 14-18 SU and 23-7-2 ATS good for a highly profitable 77% winning bets since 2014.

P-Value Calculation for the NFL Betting System
The P-Value measures the probability of observing the system's winning record (or better) under the null hypothesis that it's no better than random chance. For ATS betting, we test against two nulls: 

We use a one-tailed binomial test (alternative='greater'), assuming independent bets (a common but debated assumption in sports betting due to potential correlations). Pushes (2) are excluded, focusing on decisions (wins + losses). Data: Overall, 39 wins / 53 trials (73.58%); Divisional 12 wins / 15 trials (80%).

Results

Metric

Wins/Trials

Win %

P-Value vs. 0.5

P-Value vs. 0.5238

Overall ATS (since 2014)

39/53

73.58%

0.000401 (highly significant)

0.001304 (highly significant)

Divisional ATS (since 2014)

12/15

80%

0.017578 (significant)

0.027176 (significant)

Interpretation: Both are statistically significant (P < 0.05), meaning the results are unlikely due to luck alone—even against the tougher breakeven threshold. The overall system's low P-Value strongly rejects the null, supporting its profitability claims (e.g., consistent wins over 11 seasons, 8 bets lined up for 2025 Weeks 1-3).

#175 ASA FREE PLAY ON Old Dominion +24 over Indiana, Saturday at 2:30PM ET - ODU started last season with a near upset over South Carolina in week 1 as a +21 point underdog. Can they repeat that performance and beat this Indiana team to open the season? It’s unlikely they can win this game, but they don’t have to when they are getting +24-points. The Monarchs played 9 one-score games a year ago and had a net average point differential of 0.0ppg. ODU is projected to be one of the best pass rushing teams in the Sun Belt and have players (linebackers Henderson and Naotala) capable of pressuring a new QB in Indiana (Fernando Mendoza - Cal). Despite Indiana’s dominant 11-2 season in 2024, their offense faces uncertainties with a new quarterback and a rebuilt running back unit. Old Dominion, coming off a 5-7 season, excels in close games (20 one-score games in the last two seasons). ODU Dual-threat QB Colton Joseph could exploit Indiana’s thin defensive line, keeping the game competitive. Indiana had one of the best +/- averages in college football at +21.7ppg but that’s still not enough to get a cover in this one.

Ricky's 1* play on CHC.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Chicago Cubs is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games against Colorado.

- Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.

- Chicago Cubs is 6-4 in their last 10 games.

Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.

Joe D SWEEPS the board on Wednesday. Not here to give you action. Here to give you winners. I have isolated a few HUGE NCAAF winners for you this weekend, posted shortly.

Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Ohio State Buckeyes.

Game 188.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

In the biggest marquee matchup on the college football board this week, we have the No. 1 Texas Longhorns going into Columbus to play the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes. In a quick recap, these two teams met last January in the CFP semifinals, and we all know how that ended. Ohio State took down Texas, 28-14, to then go on to beat Notre Dame for the National Championship. Everywhere I go, I am reading that the game was tied thru the third quarter, and into the fourth, and blah blah blah blah blah blah blah. Guys, bottom line, the Buckeyes did what they needed to do to win that contest. Yes, this is a big revenge situation for the Longhorns. I mean they are now led by Heisman-candidate, Arch Manning, who has full control of the offense this season. There is an edge at the quarterback position for the visitor here, and yes, the Buckeyes have Julian Sayin at the helm, making his first ever start. But please understand Manning only has two starts under his belt, himself. Texas also had to replace four starters on their offensive line. Coincidentally enough, so did Ohio State on their defensive line. But the Buckeyes are very deep on defense side of the ball, bringing back a couple of seasoned veterans on their stop-unit, which is expected to be as ferocious as they were a season ago. This team did not give up a lot of points, and faced quite a few strong offenses last year. Let's not forget, playing at home in front of some of the most loyal fans in all of college sports, gives Ohio State a big edge as well. One last item my friends, it also can't sit well with the Buckeyes that they open their season ranked behind a team in which they took down just over seven months ago. I'm going against the masses here. Take OSU, my friends. Thank you.

Free Pick on Appalachian State -4 -105

T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Brewers.

I think the Brewers offer tremendous value to upset what I believe to be an overpriced Toronto side. Shane Bieber is great, but I don't have "Bieber-Fever" quite yet, as the sample size is still way too small to draw any firm conclusions about his performance this season. What I can say though is that Brewers' scheduled starter Freddy Peralta (15-5, 2.68 ERA) has been a consistent bright spot for Milwaukee all year and he clearly comes in "battle tested." Great value on a great pitcher and a red-hot team; consider the Brewers!

T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Milwaukee.

Recommended Bet: Millonarios +167

Friday's CFB Free Pick

PLAY ON: Georgia Tech/Colorado OVER 51

3* on Charlotte

Coach Deion Sanders faces a challenging season with Colorado, navigating personal distractions involving his sons' NFL-related issues and the loss of their Heisman-winning Hunter. However, the Buffaloes bolstered their offense through the transfer portal, with improvements expected along the offensive line. Kaidon Salter, the new quarterback, brings promise, and the offense should be capable of moving the ball effectively. On the other side, Georgia Tech, under Brent Key’s leadership, has built a formidable program poised to compete for a top-25 ranking all season. The Yellow Jackets boast a superior offense, led by quarterback Haynes King, who is now fully comfortable in the system, complemented by a robust running game. Given Georgia Tech’s offensive edge and overall program stability, I strongly favor the Yellow Jackets to cover the spread. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both teams are likely to put points on the board. Take the Over. Let's cash some tickets!

Fresno State lost their starting  QB Mikey Keene to Michigan and their top 3 wide receivers from last year entering this campaign, and it showed via an anemic looking attack  in their first game of the season against a average to sub par Kansas D. The Bulldogs run heavy offense managed just under 200 yards passing and 37 total yards on the ground via 29 carries. Those are some ugly numbers, and Im betting they will continue to suffer growing pains on the offensive side of the ball here early on the season. On the flip-side Georgia Southerns air raid offense, is expected to feature alot of short passes and clock grinding type options making for a pace that screams out as being boring, which in conjunction with Fresnos pound the ground game plan equals a lower scoring affair. 

Play under